• 22 Posts
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Joined 1 year ago
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Cake day: May 27th, 2024

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  • I generally don’t want him to fail, like I don’t really want anyone to fail. But I do expect him to fail.

    I expect him to fail in one of two ways:

    1. He already knows or will learn that some of his promises are bad ideas and he will just not do those (this is not a bad thing in any way, we should generally commend people who learn new things and refuse to do bad things). But I would count this as a sort of failure in regards to what he promised to do.

    2. Some of his promises he will do, and since humanity does have the power to bend economic reality, it may look for a while like those policies work. Unfortunately, economic reality bounces back hard when you bend it too much for too long. This will be a nastier failure, because for anyone not looking closely (which is a hard thing to do), it might look as he succeeded, and most of the blame of the fallout will go to the next people fixing his mistakes. This is a typical left/right pendulum swing.

    I will reiterate that I don’t want him to fail, and will gladly accept new economic opinions if it starts to look like he’s doing a net good. In adult real world, I suppose it’s more reasonable to guess that some of his ideas will work, and some will not. The usual problem is that leftists tend to waste money on unnecessary or badly run public projects, but to my knowledge, there’s no specific theoretical reason for the left to do that – it’s just tends to happen. Which, when I try to think positively, implies to me that it’s possible for some leftists to do better in that area.

    His version of Islam seems like a moderate one, so if that image is true, I have pretty much nothing against that. Some theological disagreements perhaps, but not hugely different from the disagreements that I have with other moderate abrahamic believers.

    And it’s always/usually good when a 40-year (edit oh, more like 30-year old, wow) old beats a bunch of 70-year olds in the political arena. And it’s fascinating when fresh ideas come in. Perhaps all that will invite other “young” people to go into politics.

    edit Plus in the current political climate in the US, it’s always good when a D beats an R.









  • She was not a bad candidate: a smart, fun, relatively young centrist. Her candidacy was dragged down mostly by Biden’s reluctance to tap out and by Trump barely surviving an assassination. Without either of those two things (especially the latter) she might very well have been the first female US president.

    If she really becomes the candidate, the way to victory is for her not to embrace the woke left (especially the fucking morons who worked against her because they hallucinated some crazy Gaza things), and go for the center more clearly. Of course she’ll need to denounce the far right as well, but somehow I imagine that won’t be a problem for a D candidate.